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Related Prediction Markets on Events

2 min read

When you read about an event in Ezana, you can see whether traders on Polymarket are pricing a related outcome. The related-markets panel lists live prediction markets that match the event, with their current odds and volume.

Where you’ll find it

  • Global Market Analysis chain view: each event row has a Markets button.
  • Event reports and ISR article windows: a View related prediction markets toggle below the article body.

Step-by-step

  1. Open Research → Global Market Analysis.
  2. On an event row, click Markets, or open an article and click View related prediction markets.
  3. Scan the rows (up to six) for the question you care about.
  4. Click a row to open that market on polymarket.com in a new tab.
  5. Click the button again (Hide Markets) to collapse the panel.

How it works

Ezana reads the event’s headline and summary and picks out named entities: companies, countries, people, organizations, and tickers. It then looks for active, open Polymarket markets that share those entities. Markets that do not clear a relevance bar are dropped, sports markets are rejected, and the rest are ranked by relevance, then by trading volume. If nothing is relevant enough, Ezana shows nothing rather than a loosely related market.

Reading the panel

Each row shows the market title and question, the current YES and NO prices in cents (a 65¢ YES price implies roughly a 65% probability), 24-hour volume, and when the market ends.

Things to know

Prediction-market odds reflect what people are willing to pay on a question. They are a useful data point, not a forecast from Ezana. The panel is informational: Ezana does not place Polymarket trades for you from it.

Troubleshooting

  • “No high-confidence prediction markets match this article”? Candidates were found but none cleared the relevance bar.
  • “No related markets found on Polymarket”? No active market mentions the event’s entities. Breaking or niche events often have none yet.
  • Odds look stale? Reopen the panel to fetch the latest prices.

Next in Research Tools: Kairos Signal: Event-Driven Trading Indicator and Reading and Subscribing on Ezana Echo.

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FAQ

Q: How are markets matched to events?

A: By the named entities they share with the event, filtered for relevance and ranked by relevance and volume.

Q: Can I trade the market from Ezana?

A: No. Clicking a row opens the market on Polymarket’s own site.

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