Prediction markets let people trade on the outcome of real-world events, and their prices act as a crowd-sourced probability. Ezana brings live market data from Polymarket and Kalshi into the Betting Markets page, and shows related Polymarket markets alongside news events.
Where prediction markets appear
- Betting Markets page: switch between Polymarket and Kalshi at the top. The Polymarket view shows top markets with volume, topic tags to filter them, a trader leaderboard, and trader search. The Kalshi view shows top markets and a market search.
- Global Market Analysis: events in the ISR feed that match an active market show a Polymarket pill with the current Yes price.
Step-by-step
- Open Betting Markets from the Research menu.
- Pick Polymarket or Kalshi.
- On Polymarket, click a topic tag to filter the top markets, or search a trader by wallet address or username to see their profile.
- On Kalshi, search by keyword, ticker, or category.
- Follow the link to the venue if you want to trade.
How to read odds
If a market shows “Yes” at 62¢, traders are pricing the event at about a 62% implied probability. Prices move as people trade, so thin markets can jump on small orders. Check the traded volume shown with each market: higher volume usually means a price that is harder to move and more worth your attention.
Things to know
- Market odds are not forecasts from Ezana. Treat them as one data point alongside your own research.
- Placing trades on these markets from inside Ezana is not currently available.
- “No markets available” usually means the venue’s data could not be loaded. Try again later.
- During the beta, Betting Markets may show a “coming in v1.0” notice for some accounts.
Next in Global Analysis: Geopolitical Events Feed (ISR) and Reading the Big Cycle Chart.
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FAQ
Q: Can I trade prediction markets on Ezana?
A: No. Ezana displays market data; follow the link to the venue to trade.
Q: Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?
A: They are separate venues with different traders, so prices can differ.