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Global Analysis

Prediction Markets on Ezana

2 min read

Prediction markets let people trade on the outcome of real-world events, and their prices act as a crowd-sourced probability. Ezana brings live market data from Polymarket and Kalshi into the Betting Markets page, and shows related Polymarket markets alongside news events.

Where prediction markets appear

  • Betting Markets page: switch between Polymarket and Kalshi at the top. The Polymarket view shows top markets with volume, topic tags to filter them, a trader leaderboard, and trader search. The Kalshi view shows top markets and a market search.
  • Global Market Analysis: events in the ISR feed that match an active market show a Polymarket pill with the current Yes price.

Step-by-step

  1. Open Betting Markets from the Research menu.
  2. Pick Polymarket or Kalshi.
  3. On Polymarket, click a topic tag to filter the top markets, or search a trader by wallet address or username to see their profile.
  4. On Kalshi, search by keyword, ticker, or category.
  5. Follow the link to the venue if you want to trade.

How to read odds

If a market shows “Yes” at 62¢, traders are pricing the event at about a 62% implied probability. Prices move as people trade, so thin markets can jump on small orders. Check the traded volume shown with each market: higher volume usually means a price that is harder to move and more worth your attention.

Things to know

  • Market odds are not forecasts from Ezana. Treat them as one data point alongside your own research.
  • Placing trades on these markets from inside Ezana is not currently available.
  • “No markets available” usually means the venue’s data could not be loaded. Try again later.
  • During the beta, Betting Markets may show a “coming in v1.0” notice for some accounts.

Next in Global Analysis: Geopolitical Events Feed (ISR) and Reading the Big Cycle Chart.

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FAQ

Q: Can I trade prediction markets on Ezana?

A: No. Ezana displays market data; follow the link to the venue to trade.

Q: Why do Polymarket and Kalshi show different odds?

A: They are separate venues with different traders, so prices can differ.

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