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Top Performing Politicians Methodology

2 min read

The Top Performing Politicians chart on Inside the Capitol ranks members of Congress by estimated profit and loss on disclosed trades. It is an estimate built from public filings, not a report of anyone’s actual portfolio return, and that distinction matters.

How it works

  1. Amount midpoints. Disclosures report each trade as a value range (for example, $15,001 to $50,000). Ezana uses the midpoint of the range as the assumed position size.
  2. Entry price. Each disclosed buy is priced using historical market data for its transaction date, not the later filing date.
  3. Exit price. The position is valued at the earlier of a matching sale of the same ticker in the same calendar year, or the end of that year.
  4. Sells without a buy are skipped. Without a known purchase, there is no honest way to estimate profit.
  5. Aggregation. Per-trade results are added up for each member for the year you choose. Per-trade results beyond plus or minus 500% are dropped as likely data errors.

Step-by-step

  1. Open Inside the Capitol and find the Top Performing Politicians card.
  2. Use the Year selector to pick a year from 2016 onward, or All-time.
  3. Click the info button to show the methodology note in the card.
  4. Hover a bar to see that member’s estimated P&L.

Things to know

  • A range midpoint can be far from the real amount. A trade reported as $15,001 to $50,000 could be anywhere in that band.
  • Disclosures do not include cost basis, taxes, or account-level sizing.
  • Late filings are common, so a year’s figures can change after the fact.
  • Figures refresh weekly for the current and previous year.
  • During the beta, Inside the Capitol may show a “coming in v1.0” notice for some accounts.

Use the ranking as a signal about disclosed activity, not as a precise track record.

Next in Research Tools: Following Specific Politicians and Interpreting Congressional Trade Data.

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FAQ

Q: Is this a real portfolio return?

A: No. It is an estimate from disclosed trades using range midpoints and historical prices.

Q: Why not use exact prices?

A: Execution prices are not published, so the transaction-date price is the best available proxy.

Q: Why is a well-known trader missing?

A: Members with only sales, or no priced buys in that year, have nothing to estimate.

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