Inside the Capitol
Top Performing Politicians Methodology
The Top Performing Politicians chart ranks members of Congress by an Estimated Return on Disclosed Trades. It is an estimate, not a report of an actual portfolio return — and that distinction matters.
How the estimate is built
- Amount midpoints. Congressional disclosures report trades in value ranges (e.g. $15K–$50K). We use the midpoint of each range as the assumed size of the trade.
- Matched buys and sells. For each member, we match disclosed buys to later disclosed sells in the same ticker (FIFO). Open positions are marked-to-market at the most recent close price.
- Entry and exit prices. Executed-price data is not published, so we use the adjusted close price on the transaction date (not the filing date) to approximate entry and exit.
- Aggregation. The per-trade results are aggregated per politician over the chosen time window to produce the estimated return.
Why you should treat this as an estimate
- The midpoint of a range can be off by a lot — a trade reported as "$15K–$50K" is anywhere in that band.
- Congressional reports don't capture cost basis, holding costs, taxes, or account-level sizing.
- Late filings are common; trades can surface weeks or months after they occurred. The STOCK Act's 45-day reporting window is a floor, not a ceiling.
- There is no public ground-truth portfolio to compare against for any member of Congress.
Use this ranking as a signal about disclosed activity, not as a precise track record.
Related articles
Was this article helpful?